Gold price surged over 1% on Wednesday after softer-than-expected economic data from the United States increased bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could cut interest rates by September. In the meantime, the latest FOMC meeting minutes showed that “several participants” were ready to lift rates if inflation remained elevated. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $2,356 above its opening price.
The Fed’s minutes showed that most participants estimated that the current policy is restrictive but had opened the door for rate increases. Policymakers acknowledged the economy is cooling and could react to unexpected economic weakness.
In addition, US business activity in the services sector contracted after hitting its highest level since August 2023, according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). This and weaker jobs data, as the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits rose and private companies hired fewer workers than foreseen, sparked a repricing of Fed interest rate cuts.
Labor market data surprisingly came in softer following Tuesday’s stronger-than-expected JOLTS report. Trader focus shifts to Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report as US markets will be closed on Thursday due to Independence Day.

